Market primed for growth in fiscal 2018 and 2019
Long-term spending trends are positive
- Most agencies are seeing a multiyear rise in contract spending
- Set-aside spending, usually flat during downturn, is rising in lock-step with year-over-year spending increases
Spending in fiscal 2018 has matched the president’s fiscal 2018 budget priorities
- Most agency spending amounts align with the president’s request
- Defense agencies accelerated spending; nondefense agencies cut back spending
Congress wanted to spend much more money on:
- Specific defense programs such as weapons and upgrades, readiness support, and upgrades to existing IT systems
- Nondefense agencies, but no detailed plans beyond border security and infrastructure
How to spend it?
- Use of multiple-award contracts
- Small-business spending
Fiscal 2019 outlook
- Budget caps already raised, but president doesn’t have to request or spend up to them
In 2017:
- Women-owned set-aside spending rose by $276 million, or 62 percent, to $718 million
- Veteran-owned set-aside spending rose by $1.2 billion, or 19 percent, to $7.3 billion
- Indian Small Business Economic Enterprise spending rose by $18 million, or 28 percent, to $85 million
Higher Budget Caps Signal More Spending
Fiscal 2018 Budget Caps
New |
Old |
Change |
|
Defense |
$629 |
$541.9 |
+ $79.9 |
Nondefense |
$579 |
$515.7 |
+ $63.3 |
Fiscal 2019 Budget Caps
New |
Old |
Change |
|
Defense |
$647 |
$562 |
+ $85 |
Nondefense |
$579 |
$529.1 |
+ $67.9 |
Spending Booms at the End of Year
Fourth quarter is by far when most of the money is spent
- Defense spent one-third of its annual obligations in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2017
- Civilian agencies spent 35 percent of its annual obligations in the fourth quarter of 2017
Slowest quarter
- Defense spent 21 percent of its annual obligations in the first quarter
- Civilian agencies spent 19 percent of its annual obligations in the second quarter